The “Middle Eight” That Makes All the Difference for Congress and Washington
What Companies and Organizations Can Learn from College Football’s Game Management Theory
This week, The Wall Street Journal caught my attention with an article titled “The Eight Minutes That Will Decide the College Football Season,” which explored the concept of the "middle eight"—the critical period encompassing the last four minutes of the second quarter and the first four minutes of the third quarter in a football game.
Author Jared Diamond explained the strategic importance of this seemingly unremarkable stretch of time:
"The reason that seemingly unremarkable stretch has a fancy name is that football experts consider it to be one of the most profoundly consequential periods in any game. The idea behind the middle eight is simple: If you score in the final moments of the first half and then regain possession on the second-half kickoff, you effectively steal a possession from your opponent. In theory, you could score two consecutive touchdowns without your opponent ever touching the ball."
Diamond goes on to highlight how six-time Super Bowl-winning coach Bill Belichick made the "middle eight" a cornerstone of his game management strategy. Backed by data, this concept is proven to be powerful: during the 2024 college football season, 70% of teams that outscored their opponents in the "middle eight" went on to win the game.
This got me thinking: What’s the equivalent of the “middle eight” for companies and organizations aiming to win advocacy campaigns in Washington, DC, or in broader public policy battles?
Washington’s “Middle Eight”
For organizations seeking to influence Washington or any policy arena, the strategic parallel to the "middle eight" is the ability to avoid losing possession of the political debate. In the world of lobbying, advocacy, and public affairs, a "lost possession" often happens when organizations hesitate, waiting for the perfect political or legislative environment to emerge before taking action. The classic refrain, “Let’s keep our powder dry,” is the hallmark tagline of an organization or campaign destined for defeat.
In contrast, the organizations that make the most of their "middle eight" are those that proactively shape the debate. They take ownership of their message and their assets—whether it’s their customer base, employees, or stakeholders—and use them to engage the public and influence policymakers. By controlling the conversation early, they steal a possession, getting ahead of their competitors in the policy and political game.
But, just like in football, you can’t afford to "let the game come to you." Winning in Washington demands proactive strategy. It’s not enough to react to legislation once it's introduced or to show up when a hearing is scheduled. Instead, companies must develop strategies to shape the political and policy conversation before legislative momentum builds and before lawmakers start holding committee hearings or casting votes.
So, with President Donald Trump and the new Republican Congress set for kickoff on January 20—the same night as the College Football National Championship game—when does Washington’s "middle eight" arrive?
The "Middle Eight" for Washington: It Starts Now
For those looking to make an impact on Capitol Hill, Washington’s "middle eight" is happening right now. The critical period spans from January’s swearing-in ceremonies to the traditional late-summer recess, during which Congress will prioritize policy initiatives, often influenced by a barrage of input from constituents, business leaders, political influencers, and the media.
At Penta, we advise our clients to take full advantage of this window. The first eight months of 2025 will be crucial for engaging stakeholders and securing political momentum—before lawmakers head home for their summer town hall meetings. Here’s a clear game plan for turning the “middle eight” into a winning strategy:
Develop Opinion Research and Data Strategies
Companies should invest in comprehensive polling and data analytics to monitor public opinion on key policy issues. This will enable them to spot trends and shifts, ensuring they are well-positioned to influence the debate.Deploy Strategic Media Campaigns
This is an ideal window for launching targeted media campaigns that resonate with key constituents and stakeholders. Reinforcing the political and policy benefits of an organization’s mission can help sway public sentiment and shape the political landscape.Build Grassroots Activation
Companies should start building and nurturing grassroots strategies with allied groups and organizations in key states and districts. Showcasing strong local support for an organization’s position will amplify its influence and create pressure on lawmakers.Anticipate Legislative Challenges
The 2024 election had the veneer of a mandate, but in reality, Congress’s legislative process remains tenuous, with the House of Representatives controlled by a slim 2-seat majority. The 2026 midterms are already on the horizon, and the political environment remains volatile. In such an environment, identifying the right opportunities and executing the right strategies is the difference between success and failure.
Seizing Opportunities in Washington's “Middle Eight”
When margins are thin, as they are in the current political landscape, the organizations that win will be those who anticipate and capitalize on opportunities early. Like the teams that dominate the middle eight in football, the key to success in Washington is taking proactive control of the conversation and scoring early, before the momentum shifts beyond your reach.
By understanding and applying the lessons of the "middle eight," companies and organizations can stay one step ahead in the race for policy influence. In Washington, as in football, the early moves often determine the outcome of the game.
(C) 2025 - Just Maddening
Something I've been thinking about for months but wasn't articulating very well (and without any knowledge much less understanding of this "middle eight" theory). Trump and the Republican Congress doesn't have four years to "get it right." They don't even have two years - until the mid-term elections - to get it right. If they don't "get it right" legislatively by June-September of this year (sooner for some actions), there won't be time for their efforts to bear fruit in a manner that will influence the subsequent elections (2026 as well as 2028) in their favor and they will de facto be losers (again) before the election seasons even start.
(1) I've been wondering for years why teams winning the coin toss have been opting to kick rather than "seizing the initiative" by getting the ball first. Now I know.
(2) Noteworthy (in my internalization of this middle 8 concept) that I saw Ohio State do this - score touchdowns at the end of the first half and then within the first minute or so of the second half - against Notre dame just last night and go on to win by 11 points.